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Lake Materials

A281740 · KOSDAQ
₩10,840+12.33%
2026-08-03 close

Lake Materials — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (Korea market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
648 picks
Next-day win rate
49.2%
Avg next-day
-0.17%
vs market
+0.72%p

Beat the market on 62.1% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-31 0%07-30 66.7%07-29 0%07-28 45%07-27 20%07-25 36.4%07-21 55.6%07-20 53.8%07-16 53.3%07-15 50%07-14 71.4%07-13 31.2%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 110 화학 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 34.14 · PBR 5.47 — own history (2017-12~) percentiles 80/100 · 70/100

PER80/100
PBR70/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Annual dividend

Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes

Annual dividend per share chart2025: 50원50원2025
Annual dividend (per share · split-adjusted) · as of 2025
Consistency
D
Yield
F
Safety
B+
Reference indicatorView observed cut rates

Paid 1 consecutive years · Raised 0 consecutive years · Yield 0.46% (based on 2025 payment of 50원)

Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Grey zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 2.17
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
2.17
Beneish M-Score
-1.30

Statistical manipulation-risk signal

Sloan accrual
5.68%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

차입 증가 → 이자부담 → 수익성 악화

Critical

부채가 +16.3% 늘며 이자보상배율이 4.7x에서 2.8x로 하락했다. ROE도 26.8%에서 17.0%로 낮아져 차입 부담이 수익성을 누르고 있다.

Evidence

부채 YoY +16.3%이자보상배율 4.7x→2.8xROE 26.8%→17.0%

운전자본 팽창 → 현금 고갈 → 유동성 위기

Warning

순운전자본이 +38.0% 팽창하며 현금이 묶이고 있다. 영업CF/순이익 비율이 4%로 이익 대비 현금 회수가 부족하고, 유동비율도 1.15에서 1.12로 하락했다.

Evidence

순운전자본 YoY +38.0%영업CF/순이익 4%유동비율 1.15→1.12

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

5/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score5/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtPass
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverPass

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Revenue qualityWarning

OCF/매출 3기 연속 하락. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Cash conversion cycleWarning

현금전환주기(CCC) 3기 연속 확대 — 운전자본 경색·현금 회수 지연 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Margin trendWarning

영업이익률 악화 (25.0% → 16.0%, -9.0%p). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

KRAs of 2026-08-03

화학

This stock is in 화학: revenue rank 59 of 109, share 0.1%.

59 / 1090.1%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1LG화학31.9%
  2. 2롯데케미칼13.3%
  3. 3금호석유화학4.7%
  4. 4DL3.7%
  5. 5코오롱인더3.2%
  6. 6레이크머티리얼즈0.1%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 49.9%
HHI 1,298109 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
8.66
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
6

Value lens

P90/P10
9.3
Median P/B
0.71
Level
넓음
n
98

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
16%
Interest coverage
2.8x
Return on equity (ROE)
16%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 2.8x adverse case 1.9x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16% adverse case 5.6%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 2.8x adverse case 2.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16% adverse case 8.4%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 2.8x adverse case 1.8x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16% adverse case 7.5%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 10.2pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 5.7%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Lake Materials's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Who held it · filings

Filed record

A historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.

US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.

5%+ major-holding disclosures

  • 김진동43.76%2025-05-22 · 증감 -0.08%p

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ 47억 · 1w net inflow ≈ +4억(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

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Recent filings

Lake Materials's latest filings on Korea's DART. Open a headline for a reference summary and the original.

Source: DART (Korea electronic disclosure)

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

New MA alignment×1
26-05-06-31.1%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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