운전자본 팽창 → 현금 고갈 → 유동성 위기
Warning순운전자본이 +35.4% 팽창하며 현금이 묶이고 있다. 영업CF/순이익 비율이 12%로 이익 대비 현금 회수가 부족하고, 유동비율도 2.06에서 1.79로 하락했다.
Evidence
순운전자본 YoY +35.4%영업CF/순이익 12%유동비율 2.06→1.79
POND GROUP
A472850 · KOSDAQ₩4,450+7.23%
2026-08-03 closePOND GROUP — what's the grade? And what signals are flashing today?
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AI Insight
Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly
Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction
Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (Korea market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)
Last 30 sessions
648 picks
Next-day win rate
49.2%
Avg next-day
-0.17%
vs market
+0.72%p
Beat the market on 62.1% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).
Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-31 0%07-30 66.7%07-29 0%07-28 45%07-27 20%07-25 36.4%07-21 55.6%07-20 53.8%07-16 53.3%07-15 50%07-14 71.4%07-13 31.2%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.
Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.
Valuation Grades
Relative to 150 화장품,의류,완구 peers · not investment advice
Annual dividend
Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes
Consistency
D
Yield
A+
Paid 1 consecutive years · Raised 0 consecutive years · Yield 8.99% (based on 2025 payment of 400원)
Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.
Financial safety
Reference indicatorAs of 2024Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 3.32
Distress
Grey
Safe
- Altman Z''
- 3.32
- Beneish M-Score
- 114.31
- Sloan accrual
- 5.23%
Statistical manipulation-risk signal
부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Why has this company moved this way?
Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score
4/9Moderate
Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.
Financial improvement score4/9
Profitability
- Positive ROAPass
- Positive OCFPass
- Improving ΔROAPass
- Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed
Leverage & liquidity
- Lower debtNot passed
- Higher current ratioNot passed
- No new sharesNot passed
Efficiency
- Higher gross marginNot passed
- Higher asset turnoverPass
Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사
Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Forensic signals
Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.
Margin trendWarning
영업이익률 악화 (24.0% → 11.2%, -12.8%p). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Margin trendWarning
영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 38% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Industry structure
KRAs of 2026-08-03화장품,의류,완구
This stock is in 화장품,의류,완구: revenue rank 44 of 146, share 0.4%.
44 / 1460.4%revenue share
Who dominates this industry?
- 1효성티앤씨8.3%
- 2LG생활건강7.3%
- 3코웨이4.6%
- 4영원무역홀딩스4.6%
- 5미스토홀딩스4.6%
- 6폰드그룹0.4%
Concentration
DistributedCR3 20.3%HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.
Polarization
MixedDivergent lensesPolarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.
Margin lens
- IQR%p
- 1.85
- Direction
- 확대
- Level
- 좁음
- Years
- 8
Value lens
- P90/P10
- 8.6
- Median P/B
- 0.81
- Level
- 넓음
- n
- 140
Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)
Factual information, not investment advice.
Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions
Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.
Base metrics
- Operating margin
- 11.2%
- Interest coverage
- 8.6x
- Return on equity (ROE)
- 11.9%
Operating margin −5pp
TolerableInterest coverageBase 8.6x adverse case 4.8x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 11.9% adverse case 8.5%
Revenue −15%
TolerableInterest coverageBase 8.6x adverse case 7.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 11.9% adverse case 14.3%
Interest rate +2pp
TolerableInterest coverageBase 8.6x adverse case 4.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 11.9% adverse case 15.2%
Interest coverage limit
Current margin 9.9ppInterest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1.3%
Interest expense coverage threshold
Key suppliers · Annual report
Annual reportDART · 2026-03-25Suppliers disclosed by the company in its 2026-03-25 annual report.
Suppliers without disclosed amount
USD
Financials at a glance
POND GROUP's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.
Who held it · filings
Filed recordA historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.
US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.
5%+ major-holding disclosures
- 대명화학76.59%2026-07-24 · 증감 0.00%p
Other stocks held by the same investors
A filing-based shared-holder record, not investment advice.
- 로젠KRA033290 →
Shared holders: 대명화학
- 모다이노칩KRA080420 →
Shared holders: 대명화학
Connections
AI-extracted related companies · for reference
Suppliers
Customers
올리브영쿠팡네이버무신사
Competitors
Same theme
CJ올리브네트웍스
Recent filings
POND GROUP's latest filings on Korea's DART. Open a headline for a reference summary and the original.
Source: DART (Korea electronic disclosure)
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