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American Eagle Outfitters

AEO-US · New York Stock Exchange
$17.18-0.75%
2026-07-31 close

American Eagle Outfitters — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 126 소매(유통) peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 9.01 · PBR 1.68 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 86/100 · 90/100

PER86/100
PBR90/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Annual dividend

Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes

Annual dividend per share chart2004: $0.0220042005: $0.15332006: $0.252007: $0.352008: $0.402009: $0.402010: $1.0320102011: $0.332012: $2.162013: $0.3752014: $0.502015: $0.5020152016: $0.502017: $0.502018: $0.552019: $0.41252020: $0.27520202021: $0.67752022: $0.362023: $0.302024: $0.502025: $0.50$0.502025
Annual dividend (per share · split-adjusted) · as of 2025
Consistency
A-
Growth
A-
Yield
B+
Safety
B-
Reference indicatorView observed cut rates

Paid 22 consecutive years · Raised 0 consecutive years · Yield 2.91% (based on 2025 payment of $0.50) · 3-year growth +11.6%

Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2025
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 4.55
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
4.55
Beneish M-Score
-2.58

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-3.85%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

5/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score5/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesNot passed

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

소매(유통)

This stock is in 소매(유통): revenue rank 45 of 122, share 0.3%.

45 / 1220.3%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Amazon Com31.1%
  2. 2Costco Wholesale13.4%
  3. 3Home Depot7.8%
  4. 4Target5.2%
  5. 5Lowe`s Companies4.1%
  6. 6American Eagle Outfitters0.3%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 52.4%
HHI 1,296122 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
10.46
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
8

Value lens

P90/P10
22.3
Median P/B
2.91
Level
넓음
n
103

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
8%
Interest coverage
4.4x
Return on equity (ROE)
18.6%

Operating margin −5pp

Severe margin pressure
Interest coverageBase 4.4x adverse case 1.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 18.6% adverse case 3.6%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 4.4x adverse case 3.7x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 18.6% adverse case 15%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 4.4x adverse case 3.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 18.6% adverse case 16.3%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 6.2pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1.8%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

American Eagle Outfitters's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Same theme
Saks Global
🔗 See in the full market map →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

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