매출 하락 → 마진 압박 → 현금 악화
Critical매출이 -0.7% 감소하며 영업이익률이 6.1%에서 4.9%로 하락했다. 영업현금흐름도 동반 감소하여 수익-현금 순환이 약화되고 있다.
Evidence
매출 YoY -0.7% (2023→2024)영업이익률 6.1%→4.9%영업CF 724→315
Autonation
AN-US · New York Stock Exchange$212.40-1.05%
2026-07-31 closeAutonation — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?
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1 guru reporting 13F holdings — Bridgewater (founded by Ray Dalio)AI Insight
Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly
Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction
Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)
Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p
Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).
Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock flashed this signal 1 time over the last ~2 years (see the signal history below for each date).
Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.
Valuation Grades
Relative to 126 소매(유통) peers · not investment advice
Valuation in its own history
PER 11.19 · PBR 3.15 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 52/100 · 13/100
PER52/100
PBR13/100
Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).
Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.
Financial safety
Reference indicatorAs of 2024Grey zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 1.44
Distress
Grey
Safe
- Altman Z''
- 1.44
- Beneish M-Score
- -2.29
- Sloan accrual
- 2.90%
No statistical flag
부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Why has this company moved this way?
Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.
차입 증가 → 이자부담 → 수익성 악화
Critical부채가 +7.9% 늘며 이자보상배율이 5.1x에서 3.3x로 하락했다. ROE도 74.7%에서 53.1%로 낮아져 차입 부담이 수익성을 누르고 있다.
Evidence
부채 YoY +7.9%이자보상배율 5.1x→3.3xROE 74.7%→53.1%
Factual information, not investment advice.
Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score
4/9Moderate
Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.
Financial improvement score4/9
Profitability
- Positive ROAPass
- Positive OCFPass
- Improving ΔROANot passed
- Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed
Leverage & liquidity
- Lower debtPass
- Higher current ratioNot passed
- No new sharesPass
Efficiency
- Higher gross marginNot passed
- Higher asset turnoverNot passed
Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사
Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Forensic signals
Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.
Revenue qualityWarning
OCF/매출 3기 연속 하락. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Revenue qualityWarning
매출채권 증가율이 매출 증가율의 1.5배 초과 (3기 연속) — 매출 인식 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Cash conversion cycleWarning
현금전환주기(CCC) 3기 연속 확대 — 운전자본 경색·현금 회수 지연 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Industry structure
USAs of 2026-08-03소매(유통)
This stock is in 소매(유통): revenue rank 12 of 122, share 1.3%.
12 / 1221.3%revenue share
Who dominates this industry?
- 1Amazon Com31.1%
- 2Costco Wholesale13.4%
- 3Home Depot7.8%
- 4Target5.2%
- 5Lowe`s Companies4.1%
- 6Autonation1.3%
Concentration
DistributedCR3 52.4%HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.
Polarization
MixedConsistentPolarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.
Margin lens
- IQR%p
- 10.46
- Direction
- 확대
- Level
- 보통
- Years
- 8
Value lens
- P90/P10
- 22.3
- Median P/B
- 2.91
- Level
- 넓음
- n
- 103
Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)
Factual information, not investment advice.
Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions
Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.
Base metrics
- Operating margin
- 4.9%
- Interest coverage
- 3.3x
- Return on equity (ROE)
- 28.2%
Operating margin −5pp
Operating lossInterest coverageBase 3.3x adverse case -0.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 28.2% adverse case -17.6%
Revenue −15%
TolerableInterest coverageBase 3.3x adverse case 2.8x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 28.2% adverse case 28.9%
Interest rate +2pp
TolerableInterest coverageBase 3.3x adverse case 2.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 28.2% adverse case 28.3%
Interest coverage limit
Current margin 3.4ppInterest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1.5%
Interest expense coverage threshold
Financials at a glance
Autonation's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.
Who held it · filings
Filed recordA historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.
US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.
Curated gurus reporting this holding
A curated subset of well-known investors — not the full institutional ownership.
- Bridgewater Associates6,207주2026-03-31 · 증감 0주
Connections
AI-extracted related companies · for reference
Customers
Toyota MotorHonda MotorFord MotorPrice comovement r=0.50 (1 year)General MotorsPrice comovement r=0.48 (1 year)StellantisNissan MotorHyundai MotorKia
Competitors
Same theme
AutoNation USAUsed car retail
📦 ETFs holding this stock
by weight · top-10 constituents basisPassive money holding this stock ≈ $9M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)
Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.
Look up another stock →Recent filings
Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.
Signal history (last ~2 years)
Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.
Strong buy (52w high + volume)×1
26-07-29·
52-week high breakout×1
26-07-29·
“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.
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