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Cadence Design Systems

CDNS-US · Nasdaq
$340.02+2.16%
2026-07-31 close

Cadence Design Systems — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock flashed this signal 1 time over the last ~2 years (see the signal history below for each date).

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 377 소프트웨어 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 87.69 · PBR 19.8 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 26/100 · 11/100

PER26/100
PBR11/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 6.26
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
6.26
Beneish M-Score
-2.33

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-2.29%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

차입 증가 → 이자부담 → 수익성 악화

Critical

부채가 +89.9% 늘며 이자보상배율이 34.6x에서 17.8x로 하락했다. ROE도 36.8%에서 28.9%로 낮아져 차입 부담이 수익성을 누르고 있다.

Evidence

부채 YoY +89.9%이자보상배율 34.6x→17.8xROE 36.8%→28.9%

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

4/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score4/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioPass
  • No new sharesNot passed

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Cash conversion cycleWarning

현금전환주기(CCC) 5기 연속 확대 — 운전자본 경색·현금 회수 지연 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

소프트웨어

This stock is in 소프트웨어: revenue rank 49 of 356, share 0.3%.

49 / 3560.3%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Alphabet Class A19.3%
  2. 2Microsoft15.6%
  3. 3Meta Platforms Class A9.1%
  4. 4Accenture Class A3.8%
  5. 5International Business Machines3.5%
  6. 6Cadence Design Systems0.3%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 44%
HHI 776356 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

Winner-take-all deepeningConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
27.4
Direction
확대
Level
넓음
Years
24

Value lens

P90/P10
26.7
Median P/B
4.06
Level
넓음
n
304

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
29.1%
Interest coverage
17.8x
Return on equity (ROE)
22.6%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 17.8x adverse case 14.7x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 22.6% adverse case 22.3%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 17.8x adverse case 15.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 22.6% adverse case 22.9%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 17.8x adverse case 8.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 22.6% adverse case 25.4%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 27.5pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1.6%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Cadence Design Systems's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

🔗 See in the full market map →

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $592M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

Look up another stock →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Strong buy (52w high + volume)×1
26-06-01-9.4%
52-week high breakout×5
26-06-02-9.3%26-06-01-9.4%26-05-27-1.6%26-05-26-2.4%26-05-22+1.5%
Golden cross×1
26-06-01-9.4%
New MA alignment×2
26-06-15-5.8%26-06-01-9.4%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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