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Carpenter Technology

CRS-US · New York Stock Exchange
$519.66+3.17%
2026-07-31 close

Carpenter Technology — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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4 gurus reporting 13F holdingsDaniel Loeb, Bridgewater (founded by Ray Dalio), Stephen Mandel, George Soros
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock flashed this signal 3 times over the last ~2 years (see the signal history below for each date).

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 21 철강 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 68.93 · PBR 13.73 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 29/100 · 0/100

PER29/100
PBR0/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Annual dividend

Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes

Annual dividend per share chart1973: $0.143819731974: $0.19061975: $0.201976: $0.21251977: $0.2751978: $0.351979: $0.43751980: $0.487519801981: $0.51251982: $0.5251983: $0.5251984: $0.5251985: $0.52519851986: $0.5251987: $0.5251988: $0.5251989: $0.54381990: $0.6019901991: $0.601992: $0.601993: $0.601994: $0.601995: $0.6319951996: $0.661997: $0.661998: $0.661999: $0.662000: $0.6620002001: $0.662002: $0.53632003: $0.1652004: $0.17382005: $0.262520052006: $0.3752007: $0.56252008: $0.692009: $0.722010: $0.7220102011: $0.722012: $0.722013: $0.722014: $0.722015: $0.7220152016: $0.722017: $0.722018: $0.762019: $0.802020: $0.8020202021: $0.802022: $0.802023: $0.802024: $0.802025: $0.80$0.802025
Annual dividend (per share · split-adjusted) · as of 2025
Consistency
A+
Growth
C
Yield
F
Safety
B
Reference indicatorView observed cut rates

Paid 53 consecutive years · Raised 0 consecutive years · Yield 0.15% (based on 2025 payment of $0.80) · 3-year growth +0.0%

Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2025
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 6.25
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
6.25
Beneish M-Score
-2.64

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-1.85%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

매출 성장 + 마진 확대 + FCF 양수

Positive

매출이 +4.3% 성장하면서 영업이익률이 9.8%에서 18.1%로 확대되었다. FCF도 양수를 유지하여 질적 성장이 확인된다.

Evidence

매출 YoY +4.3%영업이익률 9.8%→18.1%FCF 595

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

8/9Strong

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score8/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtPass
  • Higher current ratioPass
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Cash conversion cycleWarning

현금전환주기(CCC) 3기 연속 확대 — 운전자본 경색·현금 회수 지연 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

철강

This stock is in 철강: revenue rank 7 of 19, share 2.8%.

7 / 192.8%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Nucor29.7%
  2. 2Cleveland Cliffs18.5%
  3. 3Steel Dynamics16.9%
  4. 4Reliance Steel & Aluminum13.4%
  5. 5Commercial Metals7.5%
  6. 6Carpenter Technology2.8%

Concentration

ModerateCR3 65.2%
HHI 1,77419 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
16.69
Direction
확대
Level
넓음
Years
7

Value lens

P90/P10
5.1
Median P/B
1.85
Level
보통
n
19

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
18.1%
Interest coverage
10.4x
Return on equity (ROE)
19.9%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 10.4x adverse case 7.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 19.9% adverse case 17.4%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 10.4x adverse case 8.9x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 19.9% adverse case 20.9%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 10.4x adverse case 6.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 19.9% adverse case 23.3%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 16.4pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1.7%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Carpenter Technology's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Who held it · filings

Filed record

A historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.

US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.

Curated gurus reporting this holding

A curated subset of well-known investors — not the full institutional ownership.

  • Bridgewater Associates42,457주2026-03-31 · 증감 0주
  • Lone Pine Capital1,817,940주2026-03-31 · 증감 0주
  • Soros Fund Management8,436주2026-03-31 · 증감 0주
  • Third Point310,000주2026-03-31 · 증감 0주

Other stocks held by the same investors

A filing-based shared-holder record, not investment advice.

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $2.9B(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

Look up another stock →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Strong buy (52w high + volume)×3
26-06-26-1.9%26-06-22+0.2%26-06-09+12.8%
52-week high breakout×12
26-07-06·26-06-30-14%26-06-29-7.7%26-06-25+0.7%26-06-22+0.2%26-06-18-5.3%26-06-17-3.1%26-06-12+2.7%26-06-11+0.8%26-06-10+10.6%26-06-09+12.8%26-06-08+17.7%
New MA alignment×4
26-07-06·26-06-25+0.7%26-06-08+17.7%26-05-26+28%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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