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Elbit Systems

ESLT-US · Nasdaq
$808.65+2.89%
2026-07-31 close

Elbit Systems — what's the grade? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 201 상사,자본재 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Grey zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 2.19
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
2.19
Beneish M-Score
-2.44

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-1.95%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

매출 성장 + 마진 확대 + FCF 양수

Positive

매출이 +14.3% 성장하면서 영업이익률이 6.2%에서 7.2%로 확대되었다. FCF도 양수를 유지하여 질적 성장이 확인된다.

Evidence

매출 YoY +14.3%영업이익률 6.2%→7.2%FCF 750

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

7/9Strong

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score7/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioPass
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverPass

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

상사,자본재

This stock is in 상사,자본재: revenue rank 29 of 190, share 0.8%.

29 / 1900.8%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Raytheon Technologies9.2%
  2. 2Lockheed Martin8.1%
  3. 3Boeing7.6%
  4. 4General Dynamics5.4%
  5. 5Northrop Grumman4.7%
  6. 6Elbit Systems0.8%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 24.9%
HHI 358190 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
11.85
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
10

Value lens

P90/P10
22.7
Median P/B
3.39
Level
넓음
n
175

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
7.2%
Interest coverage
5.4x
Return on equity (ROE)
9.8%

Operating margin −5pp

Severe margin pressure
Interest coverageBase 5.4x adverse case 1.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 9.8% adverse case 1.8%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 5.4x adverse case 4.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 9.8% adverse case 9.9%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 5.4x adverse case 2x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 9.8% adverse case 7.5%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 5.8pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1.3%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Elbit Systems's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Customers
Israel Ministry of DefenseU.S. Department of DefenseBoeingAirbus
Competitors
Leonardo S.p.A.Rafael Advanced Defense SystemsIsrael Aerospace IndustriesRheinmetall AGThales GroupL3Harris TechnologiesLockheed MartinSafranNorthrop GrummanBAE Systems
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Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

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