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Espey Manufacturing and Electronics

ESP-US · NYSE Amex
$59.17+1.32%
2026-07-31 close

Espey Manufacturing and Electronics — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

cup-and-handle
Forming
Cup depth / width
19.6% · 8w
Pivot
$68.49
Confidence
0.67
Moving-average alignment
No

Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 161 기계 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 21.51 · PBR 3.45 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 46/100 · 0/100

PER46/100
PBR0/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Annual dividend

Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes

Annual dividend per share chart1977: $0.016719771978: $0.0251979: $0.03331980: $0.041719801981: $0.101982: $0.151983: $0.16671984: $0.201985: $0.2019851986: $0.201987: $0.201988: $0.301989: $0.301990: $0.3019901991: $0.301992: $0.301993: $0.301994: $0.301995: $0.3519951996: $0.351997: $0.351998: No dividend paid1999: $0.152000: $0.07520002001: $0.152002: $0.152003: $0.4752004: $0.5252005: $0.312520052006: $0.442007: $0.652008: $3.852009: $1.902010: $1.9020102011: $1.902012: $1.932013: $2.002014: $1.002015: $1.0020152016: $1.002017: $1.002018: $2.002019: $1.002020: $1.0020202021: No dividend paid2022: No dividend paid2023: $0.502024: $0.8752025: $1.75$1.752025
Annual dividend (per share · split-adjusted) · as of 2025
Consistency
D
Yield
B+
Safety
C+
Reference indicatorView observed cut rates

Paid 3 consecutive years · Raised 2 consecutive years · Yield 2.96% (based on 2025 payment of $1.75)

Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2025
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 7.77
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
7.77
Beneish M-Score
-3.25

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-16.24%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

매출 성장 + 마진 확대 + FCF 양수

Positive

매출이 +13.5% 성장하면서 영업이익률이 16.9%에서 18.5%로 확대되었다. FCF도 양수를 유지하여 질적 성장이 확인된다.

Evidence

매출 YoY +13.5%영업이익률 16.9%→18.5%FCF 25

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

5/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score5/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesNot passed

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

기계

This stock is in 기계: revenue rank 134 of 157, share 0%.

134 / 1570%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Caterpillar9.9%
  2. 2Deere7%
  3. 3PACCAR5.1%
  4. 4Eaton3.8%
  5. 5Johnson Controls International3.6%
  6. 6Espey Manufacturing and Electronics0%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 22%
HHI 311157 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
14.58
Direction
축소
Level
보통
Years
9

Value lens

P90/P10
10.3
Median P/B
3.38
Level
넓음
n
148

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
18.5%
Interest coverage
499.5x
Return on equity (ROE)
16%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 499.5x adverse case 364.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16% adverse case 11.6%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 499.5x adverse case 424.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16% adverse case 13.6%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 499.5x adverse case 14x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16% adverse case 14.8%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 18.5pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 0%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Espey Manufacturing and Electronics's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

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