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John B Sanfilippo and Son

JBSS-US · Nasdaq
$82.76+1.36%
2026-07-31 close

John B Sanfilippo and Son — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock flashed this signal 1 time over the last ~2 years (see the signal history below for each date).

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 126 필수소비재 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 16.66 · PBR 2.72 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 57/100 · 34/100

PER57/100
PBR34/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Annual dividend

Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes

Annual dividend per share chart1993: $0.0519931994: $0.051995: No dividend paid1996: No dividend paid1997: No dividend paid1998: No dividend paid1999: No dividend paid2000: No dividend paid20002001: No dividend paid2002: No dividend paid2003: No dividend paid2004: No dividend paid2005: No dividend paid20052006: No dividend paid2007: No dividend paid2008: No dividend paid2009: No dividend paid2010: No dividend paid20102011: No dividend paid2012: $1.002013: $1.502014: $1.502015: $2.0020152016: $5.002017: $2.502018: $2.552019: $5.002020: $3.5020202021: $5.502022: $3.252023: $3.502024: $3.102025: $2.50$2.502025
Annual dividend (per share · split-adjusted) · as of 2025
Consistency
B
Growth
F
Yield
B+
Safety
B-
Reference indicatorView observed cut rates

Paid 14 consecutive years · Raised 0 consecutive years · Yield 3.02% (based on 2025 payment of $2.50) · 3-year growth -8.4%

Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2025
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 5.85
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
5.85
Beneish M-Score
-2.29

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
4.75%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

차입 증가 → 이자부담 → 수익성 악화

Critical

부채가 +22.8% 늘며 이자보상배율이 33.4x에서 23.8x로 하락했다. ROE도 26.4%에서 23.5%로 낮아져 차입 부담이 수익성을 누르고 있다.

Evidence

부채 YoY +22.8%이자보상배율 33.4x→23.8xROE 26.4%→23.5%

운전자본 팽창 → 현금 고갈 → 유동성 위기

Warning

순운전자본이 +18.7% 팽창하며 현금이 묶이고 있다. 영업CF/순이익 비율이 52%로 이익 대비 현금 회수가 부족하고, 유동비율도 2.34에서 2.22로 하락했다.

Evidence

순운전자본 YoY +18.7%영업CF/순이익 52%유동비율 2.34→2.22

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

3/9Weak

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score3/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

필수소비재

This stock is in 필수소비재: revenue rank 75 of 120, share 0.1%.

75 / 1200.1%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1WMT-US32.8%
  2. 2Kroger7.1%
  3. 3Pepsico4.4%
  4. 4Archer Daniels Midland4.1%
  5. 5Procter & Gamble4.1%
  6. 6John B Sanfilippo and Son0.1%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 44.2%
HHI 1,259120 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
9.77
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
9

Value lens

P90/P10
19.2
Median P/B
1.74
Level
넓음
n
104

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
7.7%
Interest coverage
23.8x
Return on equity (ROE)
16.3%

Operating margin −5pp

Severe margin pressure
Interest coverageBase 23.8x adverse case 8.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16.3% adverse case 7.2%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 23.8x adverse case 20.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16.3% adverse case 19%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 23.8x adverse case 10.2x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16.3% adverse case 21.2%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 7.3pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 0.3%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

John B Sanfilippo and Son's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Suppliers
Blue Diamond GrowersWonderful Pistachios & Almonds
🔗 See in the full market map →

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $3M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

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Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Strong buy (52w high + volume)×1
26-06-26-3.9%
52-week high breakout×4
26-07-02-8.7%26-06-29-4.3%26-06-26-3.9%26-06-25-4.4%
New MA alignment×3
26-07-16·26-07-01-7.4%26-06-29-4.3%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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