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Lifeway Foods

LWAY-US · Nasdaq
$29.78-3.84%
2026-07-31 close

Lifeway Foods — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 126 필수소비재 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 50.25 · PBR 6.31 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 45/100 · 20/100

PER45/100
PBR20/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 9.81
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
9.81
Beneish M-Score
-2.50

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-4.35%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

7/9Strong

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score7/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtPass
  • Higher current ratioPass
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverPass

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

필수소비재

This stock is in 필수소비재: revenue rank 95 of 120, share 0%.

95 / 1200%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1WMT-US32.8%
  2. 2Kroger7.1%
  3. 3Pepsico4.4%
  4. 4Archer Daniels Midland4.1%
  5. 5Procter & Gamble4.1%
  6. 6Lifeway Foods0%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 44.2%
HHI 1,259120 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
9.77
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
9

Value lens

P90/P10
19.2
Median P/B
1.74
Level
넓음
n
104

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
7.4%
Interest coverage
131.9x
Return on equity (ROE)
12.6%

Operating margin −5pp

Severe margin pressure
Interest coverageBase 131.9x adverse case 43x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 12.6% adverse case 6.1%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 131.9x adverse case 112.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 12.6% adverse case 16.2%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 131.9x adverse case 29x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 12.6% adverse case 18.6%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 7.4pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 0.1%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Lifeway Foods's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Competitors
DanoneGlanbia
🔗 See in the full market map →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Golden cross×1
26-06-05+24.2%
New MA alignment×5
26-07-16·26-07-08·26-07-02-3.7%26-06-29+2.8%26-06-12+29%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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