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Mattel

MAT-US · Nasdaq
$15.09-0.79%
2026-07-31 close

Mattel — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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1 guru reporting 13F holdings — Bridgewater (founded by Ray Dalio)
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 78 화장품,의류,완구 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 8.66 · PBR 2.07 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 95/100 · 97/100

PER95/100
PBR97/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 4.88
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
4.88
Beneish M-Score
-2.76

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-3.95%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

8/9Strong

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score8/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtPass
  • Higher current ratioPass
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

화장품,의류,완구

This stock is in 화장품,의류,완구: revenue rank 13 of 73, share 2.3%.

13 / 732.3%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Nike Class B19.7%
  2. 2Whirlpool7.1%
  3. 3lululemon athletica4.5%
  4. 4Thor Industries4.1%
  5. 5VF4%
  6. 6Mattel2.3%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 31.3%
HHI 60973 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
10.43
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
9

Value lens

P90/P10
16
Median P/B
1.02
Level
넓음
n
70

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
12.9%
Interest coverage
5.8x
Return on equity (ROE)
23.9%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 5.8x adverse case 3.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 23.9% adverse case 13.5%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 5.8x adverse case 5x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 23.9% adverse case 20.8%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 5.8x adverse case 3.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 23.9% adverse case 21.6%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 10.7pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 2.2%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Mattel's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Who held it · filings

Filed record

A historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.

US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.

Curated gurus reporting this holding

A curated subset of well-known investors — not the full institutional ownership.

  • Bridgewater Associates41,323주2026-03-31 · 증감 0주

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

🔗 See in the full market map →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

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