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Rivian Automotive Class A

RIVN-US · Nasdaq
$15.22-9.57%
2026-07-31 close

Rivian Automotive Class A — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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1 guru reporting 13F holdingsGeorge Soros
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 55 자동차 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER — · PBR 2.85 — own history (2021-11~) percentiles 71/100 · 7/100

PER71/100
PBR7/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Distress zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' -2.70
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
-2.70
Beneish M-Score
-1.98

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-19.67%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

4/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score4/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROANot passed
  • Positive OCFNot passed
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesNot passed

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverPass

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Revenue qualityDanger

매출 흑자인데 영업CF 적자 (OCF/매출 -35%). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Cash conversion cycleWarning

현금전환주기(CCC) 3기 연속 확대 — 운전자본 경색·현금 회수 지연 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

자동차

This stock is in 자동차: revenue rank 16 of 50, share 0.7%.

16 / 500.7%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1General Motors25.2%
  2. 2Ford Motor24.9%
  3. 3Tesla13.1%
  4. 4Magna International5.8%
  5. 5Cummins4.6%
  6. 6Rivian Automotive Class A0.7%

Concentration

ModerateCR3 63.3%
HHI 1,53550 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedDivergent lenses

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
3.74
Direction
축소
Level
좁음
Years
8

Value lens

P90/P10
15.3
Median P/B
1.35
Level
넓음
n
43

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
-96.6%
Interest coverage
-15.1x
Return on equity (ROE)
-72.4%

Operating margin −5pp

Operating loss
Interest coverageBase -15.1x adverse case -15.9x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -72.4% adverse case -81.8%

Revenue −15%

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase -15.1x adverse case -12.8x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -72.4% adverse case -67.1%

Interest rate +2pp

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase -15.1x adverse case -9.7x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -72.4% adverse case -80.8%

Interest coverage limit

Already below the limit by 103pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 6.4%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Rivian Automotive Class A's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Who held it · filings

Filed record

A historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.

US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.

Curated gurus reporting this holding

A curated subset of well-known investors — not the full institutional ownership.

  • Soros Fund Management143,436,000주2026-03-31 · 증감 0주

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $69M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

Look up another stock →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Golden cross×1
26-07-20·
New MA alignment×5
26-07-21·26-07-17·26-07-13·26-07-09·26-07-02-18.3%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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