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iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF

SHY-US · Nasdaq
$82.00-0.01%
2026-07-31 close
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CloseMA20MA60MA120
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
Yes · score 0.02

Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock flashed this signal 1 time over the last ~2 years (see the signal history below for each date).

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2015
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 41.92
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
41.92
Beneish M-Score
-4.44

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
0.00%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

5/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score5/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Balance sheetWarning

부채총계 급증 (+573%). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
72.1%
Interest coverage
3.2x
Return on equity (ROE)
0.6%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 3.2x adverse case 2.9x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 0.6% adverse case 0.3%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 3.2x adverse case 2.7x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 0.6% adverse case 0.2%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 3.2x adverse case 2.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 0.6% adverse case 0.2%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 49.3pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 22.8%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $31M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

Look up another stock →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Strong buy (52w high + volume)×1
26-06-23+0.1%
52-week high breakout×2
26-07-17·26-07-15·
New MA alignment×9
26-07-30·26-07-14·26-07-09·26-07-02+0.1%26-06-25+0%26-06-11-0.1%26-06-09+0.3%26-06-04+0.2%26-05-28+0.2%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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