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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund;ETF

VCR-US · NYSE Amex
$391.30+2.71%
2026-07-31 close
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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock flashed this signal 2 times over the last ~2 years (see the signal history below for each date).

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2014
Zone unavailableFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ''
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
Beneish M-Score
-2.62

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
0.00%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

매출 하락 → 마진 압박 → 현금 악화

Critical

매출이 -5.8% 감소하며 영업이익률이 99.6%에서 99.5%로 하락했다. 영업현금흐름도 동반 감소하여 수익-현금 순환이 약화되고 있다.

Evidence

매출 YoY -5.8% (2013→2014)영업이익률 99.6%→99.5%영업CF 239→224

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

3/9Weak

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score3/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
99.5%
Interest coverage
Return on equity (ROE)
17.3%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase adverse case
Return on equity (ROE)Base 17.3% adverse case 12.3%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase adverse case
Return on equity (ROE)Base 17.3% adverse case 11%

Financials at a glance

Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund;ETF's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $36M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

Look up another stock →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Strong buy (52w high + volume)×2
26-07-10·26-05-26-2%
Golden cross×1
26-06-12+0%
New MA alignment×3
26-07-15·26-07-10·26-06-30-4.2%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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