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Exxon Mobil

XOM-US · New York Stock Exchange
$155.44-0.97%
2026-07-31 close

Exxon Mobil — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

cup-and-handle
Forming
Cup depth / width
12.5% · 8w
Pivot
$155.44
Confidence
0.72
Moving-average alignment
No
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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 187 에너지 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 104.29 · PBR 15.19 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 9/100 · 0/100

PER9/100
PBR0/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Annual dividend

Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes

Annual dividend per share chart1973: $0.132819731974: $0.15631975: $0.15631976: $0.17031977: $0.18751978: $0.20631979: $0.24381980: $0.337519801981: $0.3751982: $0.3751983: $0.38751984: $0.41881985: $0.431319851986: $0.451987: $0.4751988: $0.53751989: $0.5751990: $0.617519901991: $0.671992: $0.70751993: $0.721994: $0.72751995: $0.7519951996: $0.781997: $0.81251998: $0.821999: $0.8352000: $0.8820002001: $0.912002: $0.922003: $0.982004: $1.062005: $1.1420052006: $1.282007: $1.372008: $1.552009: $1.662010: $1.7420102011: $1.852012: $2.182013: $2.462014: $2.702015: $2.8820152016: $2.982017: $3.062018: $3.232019: $3.432020: $3.4820202021: $3.492022: $3.552023: $3.682024: $3.842025: $4.00$4.002025
Annual dividend (per share · split-adjusted) · as of 2025
Consistency
A+
Growth
B
Yield
B
Safety
B+
Reference indicatorView observed cut rates

Paid 53 consecutive years · Raised 50 consecutive years · Yield 2.57% (based on 2025 payment of $4.00) · 3-year growth +4.1%

Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 5.81
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
5.81
Beneish M-Score
-2.46

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-4.71%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

차입 증가 → 이자부담 → 수익성 악화

Critical

부채가 +10.6% 늘며 이자보상배율이 23.6x에서 19.2x로 하락했다. ROE도 23.1%에서 16.6%로 낮아져 차입 부담이 수익성을 누르고 있다.

Evidence

부채 YoY +10.6%이자보상배율 23.6x→19.2xROE 23.1%→16.6%

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

5/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score5/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtPass
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

에너지

This stock is in 에너지: revenue rank 1 of 163, share 20.7%.

1 / 16320.7%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Exxon Mobil20.7%
  2. 2Chevron11.8%
  3. 3Phillips 668.7%
  4. 4Marathon Petroleum8.6%
  5. 5Valero Energy7.9%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 41.2%
HHI 840163 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

Winner-take-all deepeningConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
73.62
Direction
축소
Level
넓음
Years
11

Value lens

P90/P10
8.6
Median P/B
1.43
Level
넓음
n
147

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
12.9%
Interest coverage
19.2x
Return on equity (ROE)
12.8%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 19.2x adverse case 11.8x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 12.8% adverse case 9.3%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 19.2x adverse case 16.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 12.8% adverse case 13.2%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 19.2x adverse case 7.2x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 12.8% adverse case 14.3%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 12.2pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 0.7%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Exxon Mobil's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

🔗 See in the full market map →

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $33.3B(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

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Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

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