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SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF

XSD-US · NYSE Amex
$487.47+0.92%
2026-07-31 close
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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2014
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 8.77
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
8.77
Beneish M-Score
73.40

Statistical manipulation-risk signal

Sloan accrual
0.00%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

4/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score4/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Cash conversion cycleWarning

현금전환주기(CCC) 4기 연속 확대 — 운전자본 경색·현금 회수 지연 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Balance sheetWarning

부채총계 급증 (+291%). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Margin trendWarning

영업이익률 악화 (68.7% → 60.9%, -7.8%p). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Margin trendWarning

영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 4627% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
60.9%
Interest coverage
0x
Return on equity (ROE)
21.8%

Operating margin −5pp

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase 0x adverse case 0x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 21.8% adverse case -21.2%

Revenue −15%

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase 0x adverse case 0x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 21.8% adverse case -21.2%

Interest rate +2pp

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase 0x adverse case 0x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 21.8% adverse case -21.4%

Interest coverage limit

Already below the limit by 3,881.6pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 3,942.5%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Same theme
TSMCSemiconductor IndustrySOX Index
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📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $2M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

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Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

52-week high breakout×3
26-06-03-14.4%26-05-26-6.6%26-05-22+0%
New MA alignment×2
26-06-18-21.2%26-06-02-6.8%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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