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BGF

A027410 · KOSPI
₩4,000+3.90%
2026-08-03 close

BGF — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (Korea market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
648 picks
Next-day win rate
49.2%
Avg next-day
-0.17%
vs market
+0.72%p

Beat the market on 62.1% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-31 0%07-30 66.7%07-29 0%07-28 45%07-27 20%07-25 36.4%07-21 55.6%07-20 53.8%07-16 53.3%07-15 50%07-14 71.4%07-13 31.2%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 110 화학 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 4.16 · PBR 0.22 — own history (2014-05~) percentiles 81/100 · 84/100

PER81/100
PBR84/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Annual dividend

Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes

Annual dividend per share chart2015: 155원20152016: 309원2017: 412원2018: 200원2019: 35원2020: 110원20202021: 110원2022: 110원2023: 110원2024: 120원2025: 130원130원2025
Annual dividend (per share · split-adjusted) · as of 2025
Consistency
B
Growth
B
Yield
B+
Safety
B+
Reference indicatorView observed cut rates

Paid 11 consecutive years · Raised 2 consecutive years · Yield 3.25% (based on 2025 payment of 130원) · 3-year growth +5.7%

Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 5.60
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
5.60
Beneish M-Score
-2.53

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
1.87%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

매출 하락 → 마진 압박 → 현금 악화

Critical

매출이 -2.1% 감소하며 영업이익률이 15.9%에서 12.7%로 하락했다. 영업현금흐름도 동반 감소하여 수익-현금 순환이 약화되고 있다.

Evidence

매출 YoY -2.1% (2023→2024)영업이익률 15.9%→12.7%영업CF 70,296→49,188

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

5/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score5/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Margin trendWarning

영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 54% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

KRAs of 2026-08-03

화학

This stock is in 화학: revenue rank 42 of 109, share 0.3%.

42 / 1090.3%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1LG화학31.9%
  2. 2롯데케미칼13.3%
  3. 3금호석유화학4.7%
  4. 4DL3.7%
  5. 5코오롱인더3.2%
  6. 6BGF0.3%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 49.9%
HHI 1,298109 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
8.66
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
6

Value lens

P90/P10
9.3
Median P/B
0.71
Level
넓음
n
98

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
12.7%
Interest coverage
1.5x
Return on equity (ROE)
5.3%

Operating margin −5pp

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase 1.5x adverse case 0.9x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 5.3% adverse case -0.2%

Revenue −15%

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase 1.5x adverse case 1.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 5.3% adverse case 0.6%

Interest rate +2pp

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase 1.5x adverse case 1.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 5.3% adverse case 0.4%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 4.2pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 8.5%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Key suppliers · Annual report

Annual reportDART · 2026-03-18

Suppliers disclosed by the company in its 2026-03-18 annual report.

Purchase amount

KRW 100m
  1. HOOK
    KRW 799.4B
  2. CDC
    KRW 128.9B
  3. Donor
    KRW 128.9B
  4. PDMS
    KRW 128.9B
  5. 비지에프리테일
    KRW 128.9B

Suppliers without disclosed amount

비지에프비지에프에코머티리얼즈비지에프에코사이클비지에프에코솔루션BGFecomaterials케이엔더블유Price comovement r=0.14 (1 year)비지에프에코스페셜티비지에프에코스페셜티의비지에프로지스비지에프푸드비지에프네트웍스비지에프휴먼넷BGF비지에프리테일은+40 more

Financials at a glance

BGF's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Who held it · filings

Filed record

A historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.

US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.

5%+ major-holding disclosures

  • 홍석조68.65%2026-06-17 · 증감 -1.07%p

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Competitors
롯데쇼핑GS리테일CU이마트24
🔗 See in the full market map →

Recent filings

BGF's latest filings on Korea's DART. Open a headline for a reference summary and the original.

Source: DART (Korea electronic disclosure)

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

52-week high breakout×1
26-05-04-18.8%
New MA alignment×5
26-04-24-9.7%26-04-17-4.7%26-04-03+10.9%26-04-01+12.3%26-03-27+12.3%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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