매출 성장 + 마진 확대 + FCF 양수
Positive매출이 +50.4% 성장하면서 영업이익률이 -32.3%에서 8.6%로 확대되었다. FCF도 양수를 유지하여 질적 성장이 확인된다.
Evidence
매출 YoY +50.4%영업이익률 -32.3%→8.6%FCF 130,419
Lotte Tour Development
A032350 · KOSPI₩11,620+2.92%
2026-08-03 closeLotte Tour Development — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?
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AI Insight
Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly
Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction
Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (Korea market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)
Last 30 sessions
648 picks
Next-day win rate
49.2%
Avg next-day
-0.17%
vs market
+0.72%p
Beat the market on 62.1% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).
Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-31 0%07-30 66.7%07-29 0%07-28 45%07-27 20%07-25 36.4%07-21 55.6%07-20 53.8%07-16 53.3%07-15 50%07-14 71.4%07-13 31.2%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.
Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.
Valuation Grades
Relative to 18 호텔,레저서비스 peers · not investment advice
Valuation in its own history
PER — · PBR 2.92 — own history (2006-06~) percentiles 38/100 · 71/100
PER38/100
PBR71/100
Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).
Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.
Financial safety
Reference indicatorAs of 2024Distress zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' -2.84
Distress
Grey
Safe
- Altman Z''
- -2.84
- Beneish M-Score
- -2.00
- Sloan accrual
- -11.00%
No statistical flag
부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Why has this company moved this way?
Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score
8/9Strong
Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.
Financial improvement score8/9
Profitability
- Positive ROANot passed
- Positive OCFPass
- Improving ΔROAPass
- Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass
Leverage & liquidity
- Lower debtPass
- Higher current ratioPass
- No new sharesPass
Efficiency
- Higher gross marginPass
- Higher asset turnoverPass
Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사
Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Forensic signals
Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.
Margin trendWarning
영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 139% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Industry structure
KRAs of 2026-08-03호텔,레저서비스
This stock is in 호텔,레저서비스: revenue rank 5 of 18, share 7.3%.
5 / 187.3%revenue share
Who dominates this industry?
- 1강원랜드22.1%
- 2파라다이스16.6%
- 3골프존9.6%
- 4하나투어9.6%
- 5롯데관광개발7.3%
Concentration
DistributedCR3 48.4%HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.
Polarization
MixedConsistentPolarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.
Margin lens
- IQR%p
- 16.13
- Direction
- 확대
- Level
- 넓음
- Years
- 6
Value lens
- P90/P10
- 6.5
- Median P/B
- 1.03
- Level
- 보통
- n
- 17
Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)
Factual information, not investment advice.
Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions
Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.
Base metrics
- Operating margin
- 8.6%
- Interest coverage
- 0.3x
- Return on equity (ROE)
- -36.8%
Operating margin −5pp
Interest coverage riskInterest coverageBase 0.3x adverse case 0.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -36.8% adverse case -42.6%
Revenue −15%
Interest coverage riskInterest coverageBase 0.3x adverse case 0.2x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -36.8% adverse case -37%
Interest rate +2pp
Interest coverage riskInterest coverageBase 0.3x adverse case 0.2x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -36.8% adverse case -46.8%
Interest coverage limit
Already below the limit by 23.6ppInterest coverage limit at an operating margin of 32.2%
Interest expense coverage threshold
Financials at a glance
Lotte Tour Development's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.
Who held it · filings
Filed recordA historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.
US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.
5%+ major-holding disclosures
- 김기병50.80%2026-07-03 · 증감 0.00%p
- 국민연금공단10.47%2026-07-01 · 증감 +1.11%p
- 브이아이피자산운용7.99%2026-06-10 · 증감 +2.02%p
Connections
AI-extracted related companies · for reference
Customers
Grand Hyatt JejuLotte Hotels & Resorts중국 단체관광객
Competitors
Same theme
📦 ETFs holding this stock
by weight · top-10 constituents basisPassive money holding this stock ≈ 54억 · 1w net inflow ≈ -0억(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)
Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.
Look up another stock →Recent filings
Lotte Tour Development's latest filings on Korea's DART. Open a headline for a reference summary and the original.
Source: DART (Korea electronic disclosure)
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