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Home Depot

HD-US · New York Stock Exchange
$331.96-0.42%
2026-07-31 close

Home Depot — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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1 guru reporting 13F holdings — Andreas Halvorsen
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 126 소매(유통) peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 22.64 · PBR 50.48 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 50/100 · 20/100

PER50/100
PBR20/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Annual dividend

Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes

Annual dividend per share chart1987: $0.001519871988: $0.00361989: $0.00541990: $0.008119901991: $0.01221992: $0.01831993: $0.0251994: $0.03331995: $0.042219951996: $0.05111997: $0.06331998: $0.07671999: $0.11332000: $0.1620002001: $0.172002: $0.212003: $0.262004: $0.3252005: $0.4020052006: $0.6752007: $0.902008: $0.902009: $0.902010: $0.94520102011: $1.042012: $1.162013: $1.562014: $1.882015: $2.3620152016: $2.762017: $3.562018: $4.122019: $5.442020: $6.0020202021: $6.602022: $7.602023: $8.362024: $9.002025: $9.20$9.202025
Annual dividend (per share · split-adjusted) · as of 2025
Consistency
A
Growth
B+
Yield
B+
Safety
A-
Reference indicatorView observed cut rates

Paid 39 consecutive years · Raised 16 consecutive years · Yield 2.77% (based on 2025 payment of $9.20) · 3-year growth +6.6%

Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2025
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 4.83
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
4.83
Beneish M-Score
-2.23

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-5.21%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

차입 증가 → 이자부담 → 수익성 악화

Critical

부채가 +18.5% 늘며 이자보상배율이 11.2x에서 9.3x로 하락했다. ROE도 2077.5%에서 324.2%로 낮아져 차입 부담이 수익성을 누르고 있다.

Evidence

부채 YoY +18.5%이자보상배율 11.2x→9.3xROE 2077.5%→324.2%

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

6/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score6/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtPass
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

소매(유통)

This stock is in 소매(유통): revenue rank 3 of 122, share 7.8%.

3 / 1227.8%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Amazon Com31.1%
  2. 2Costco Wholesale13.4%
  3. 3Home Depot7.8%
  4. 4Target5.2%
  5. 5Lowe`s Companies4.1%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 52.4%
HHI 1,296122 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
10.46
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
8

Value lens

P90/P10
22.3
Median P/B
2.91
Level
넓음
n
103

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
13.5%
Interest coverage
9.3x
Return on equity (ROE)
223%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 9.3x adverse case 5.8x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 223% adverse case 169.1%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 9.3x adverse case 7.9x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 223% adverse case 240.6%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 9.3x adverse case 5.2x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 223% adverse case 262.3%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 12pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1.5%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Home Depot's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Who held it · filings

Filed record

A historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.

US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.

Curated gurus reporting this holding

A curated subset of well-known investors — not the full institutional ownership.

  • Viking Global Investors504,257주2026-03-31 · 증감 0주

Other stocks held by the same investors

A filing-based shared-holder record, not investment advice.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

🔗 See in the full market map →

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $13.0B(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

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Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

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