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Hovnanian Enterprises Class A

HOV-US · New York Stock Exchange
$123.90-4.22%
2026-07-31 close

Hovnanian Enterprises Class A — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 107 건설,건축관련 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 3.07 · PBR 0.93 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 85/100 · 68/100

PER85/100
PBR68/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Grey zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 1.45
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
1.45
Beneish M-Score
-1.97

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
8.38%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

매출 성장 + 마진 확대 + FCF 양수

Positive

매출이 +9.0% 성장하면서 영업이익률이 11.2%에서 11.5%로 확대되었다. FCF도 양수를 유지하여 질적 성장이 확인된다.

Evidence

매출 YoY +9.0%영업이익률 11.2%→11.5%FCF 41

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

6/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score6/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtPass
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverPass

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

건설,건축관련

This stock is in 건설,건축관련: revenue rank 44 of 107, share 0.6%.

44 / 1070.6%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Lennar A6.7%
  2. 2D R Horton6.5%
  3. 3Ferguson5.9%
  4. 4Quanta Services4.5%
  5. 5Sherwin Williams4.4%
  6. 6Hovnanian Enterprises Class A0.6%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 19.1%
HHI 281107 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedDivergent lenses

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
5.41
Direction
확대
Level
좁음
Years
8

Value lens

P90/P10
13
Median P/B
2.52
Level
넓음
n
99

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
11.5%
Interest coverage
11.2x
Return on equity (ROE)
30.2%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 11.2x adverse case 6.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 30.2% adverse case 20.6%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 11.2x adverse case 9.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 30.2% adverse case 32.9%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 11.2x adverse case 5.2x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 30.2% adverse case 34.8%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 10.5pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Hovnanian Enterprises Class A's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Same theme
Fannie MaeFreddie MacRedfin
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Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Golden cross×1
26-07-14·
New MA alignment×1
26-07-27·

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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