Quantus

Hercules Capital

HTGC-US · New York Stock Exchange
$16.42+3.01%
2026-07-31 close

Hercules Capital — what's the grade? And what signals are flashing today?

Open the exact grade & valuation bands with Pro →
Loading chart…
CloseMA20MA60MA120
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Cross
Golden Cross (5_20, 0d ago)
Moving-average alignment
Yes · score 0.33
Explore this stock further
Review signal, financial and filing context in chat
Explore in chat →

Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 534 은행 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Grey zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 1.78
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
1.78
Beneish M-Score
-2.08

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
9.95%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

2/9Weak

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score2/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFNot passed
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Revenue qualityDanger

매출 흑자인데 영업CF 적자 (OCF/매출 -24%). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

은행

This stock is in 은행: revenue rank 144 of 246, share 0.1%.

144 / 2460.1%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1American Express15.6%
  2. 2CBRE Group Class A7.8%
  3. 3Jones Lang LaSalle5.1%
  4. 4Nu Holdings Class A2.5%
  5. 5American Tower REIT2.2%
  6. 6Hercules Capital0.1%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 28.5%
HHI 393246 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

Winner-take-all deepeningConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
23.64
Direction
확대
Level
넓음
Years
8

Value lens

P90/P10
11.3
Median P/B
1.29
Level
넓음
n
228

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
66%
Interest coverage
5.2x
Return on equity (ROE)
13.2%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 5.2x adverse case 4.8x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 13.2% adverse case 12%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 5.2x adverse case 4.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 13.2% adverse case 10.8%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 5.2x adverse case 3.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 13.2% adverse case 11.4%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 53.3pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 12.7%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Hercules Capital's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Customers
Silicon Valley Bank
Same theme
Sequoia CapitalAndreessen HorowitzAppleNVIDIAModerna
🔗 See in the full market map →

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $78M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

Look up another stock →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

New MA alignment×3
26-07-31·26-07-10·26-07-01+0.1%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

Like these rules? Run them automatically.

Quantus turns rules like these into backtests and automated trading — same team, free to start.

Quantus Signal · live data · not investment advice · Privacy Policy