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Johnson Controls International

JCI-US · New York Stock Exchange
$146.66+1.93%
2026-07-31 close

Johnson Controls International — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
Yes · score 0.13
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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 161 기계 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 215.17 · PBR 29.54 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 11/100 · 3/100

PER11/100
PBR3/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Annual dividend

Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes

Annual dividend per share chart1997: $0.00919971998: $0.03611999: $0.03612000: $0.036120002001: $0.03612002: $0.03612003: $0.03612004: $0.03612005: $0.288820052006: $0.28882007: $0.28572008: $0.29932009: $0.38992010: $0.394420102011: $0.45422012: $0.48592013: $0.59042014: $0.6562015: $0.74520152016: $0.79182017: $1.002018: $1.042019: $1.042020: $1.0420202021: $1.072022: $1.392023: $1.452024: $1.482025: $1.51$1.512025
Annual dividend (per share · split-adjusted) · as of 2025
Consistency
A-
Growth
B-
Yield
C
Safety
B+
Reference indicatorView observed cut rates

Paid 29 consecutive years · Raised 5 consecutive years · Yield 1.03% (based on 2025 payment of $1.51) · 3-year growth +2.8%

Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2025
Distress zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 0.81
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
0.81
Beneish M-Score
-2.17

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
5.66%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

운전자본 팽창 → 현금 고갈 → 유동성 위기

Warning

순운전자본이 +11.0% 팽창하며 현금이 묶이고 있다. 영업CF/순이익 비율이 35%로 이익 대비 현금 회수가 부족하고, 유동비율도 0.94에서 0.93로 하락했다.

Evidence

순운전자본 YoY +11.0%영업CF/순이익 35%유동비율 0.94→0.93

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

5/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score5/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesNot passed

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverPass

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Cash conversion cycleWarning

현금전환주기(CCC) 3기 연속 확대 — 운전자본 경색·현금 회수 지연 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Margin trendWarning

영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 52% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

기계

This stock is in 기계: revenue rank 5 of 157, share 3.6%.

5 / 1573.6%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Caterpillar9.9%
  2. 2Deere7%
  3. 3PACCAR5.1%
  4. 4Eaton3.8%
  5. 5Johnson Controls International3.6%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 22%
HHI 311157 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
14.58
Direction
축소
Level
보통
Years
9

Value lens

P90/P10
10.3
Median P/B
3.38
Level
넓음
n
148

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
9.7%
Interest coverage
10.1x
Return on equity (ROE)
25.5%

Operating margin −5pp

Severe margin pressure
Interest coverageBase 10.1x adverse case 4.9x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 25.5% adverse case 6.8%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 10.1x adverse case 8.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 25.5% adverse case 13.3%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 10.1x adverse case 3.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 25.5% adverse case 12.1%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 8.7pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Johnson Controls International's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Same theme
United TechnologiesCarrierPrice comovement r=0.63 (1 year)
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📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $1.1B(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

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Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

52-week high breakout×3
26-06-15-2.3%26-06-09-4.6%26-06-03-4%
New MA alignment×7
26-07-30·26-07-27·26-06-25-1.5%26-06-22-4.4%26-06-11+0.2%26-06-09-4.6%26-06-04-2.9%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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