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KT&G

A033780 · KOSPI
₩179,100-3.61%
2026-08-03 close

KT&G — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (Korea market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
648 picks
Next-day win rate
49.2%
Avg next-day
-0.17%
vs market
+0.72%p

Beat the market on 62.1% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-31 0%07-30 66.7%07-29 0%07-28 45%07-27 20%07-25 36.4%07-21 55.6%07-20 53.8%07-16 53.3%07-15 50%07-14 71.4%07-13 31.2%
This stock flashed this signal 2 times over the last ~2 years (see the signal history below for each date).

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 97 필수소비재 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Valuation in its own history

PER 18.12 · PBR 2.29 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 9/100 · 30/100

PER9/100
PBR30/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Annual dividend

Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes

Annual dividend per share chart1999: 150원19992000: 1,250원2001: 1,400원2002: 1,400원2003: 1,400원2004: 1,600원2005: 1,600원20052006: 1,700원2007: 2,400원2008: 2,600원2009: 2,800원2010: 2,800원20102011: 3,000원2012: 3,200원2013: 3,200원2014: 3,200원2015: 3,400원20152016: 3,400원2017: 3,600원2018: 4,000원2019: 4,000원2020: 4,400원20202021: 4,800원2022: 4,800원2023: 6,200원2024: 5,200원2025: 5,600원5,600원2025
Annual dividend (per share · split-adjusted) · as of 2025
Consistency
A+
Growth
B
Yield
B
Safety
A
Reference indicatorView observed cut rates

Paid 27 consecutive years · Raised 1 consecutive years · Yield 3.13% (based on 2025 payment of 5,600원) · 3-year growth +5.3%

Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 6.56
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
6.56
Beneish M-Score
-2.42

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
2.47%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

차입 증가 → 이자부담 → 수익성 악화

Critical

부채가 +30.2% 늘며 이자보상배율이 22.6x에서 19.8x로 하락했다. ROE도 12.6%에서 12.1%로 낮아져 차입 부담이 수익성을 누르고 있다.

Evidence

부채 YoY +30.2%이자보상배율 22.6x→19.8xROE 12.6%→12.1%

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

4/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score4/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesNot passed

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

KRAs of 2026-08-03

필수소비재

This stock is in 필수소비재: revenue rank 4 of 96, share 4.1%.

4 / 964.1%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1CJ제일제당20.4%
  2. 2하림지주8.5%
  3. 3동원산업6.2%
  4. 4KT&G4.1%
  5. 5대상홀딩스3.7%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 35.1%
HHI 65496 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
5.93
Direction
확대
Level
좁음
Years
6

Value lens

P90/P10
4.9
Median P/B
0.66
Level
보통
n
92

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
18.9%
Interest coverage
19.8x
Return on equity (ROE)
12.6%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 19.8x adverse case 14.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 12.6% adverse case 8.3%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 19.8x adverse case 16.9x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 12.6% adverse case 9.7%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 19.8x adverse case 7.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 12.6% adverse case 10.5%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 17.9pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Key suppliers · Annual report

Annual reportDART · 2026-03-18

Suppliers disclosed by the company in its 2026-03-18 annual report.

Purchase amount

KRW 100m
  1. 이랜텍Price comovement r=-0.08 (1 year)
    KRW 56T
  2. CMZ
    KRW 38.7T
  3. Alcohol
    KRW 3.9T
  4. Ethyl
    KRW 3.9T
  5. Micolin
    KRW 3.9T
  6. Mihapol
    KRW 3.9T
  7. PBS
    KRW 3.9T
  8. Sumitomo
    KRW 2.2T
  9. 네오크레마Price comovement r=-0.03 (1 year)
    KRW 1.2T
  10. International
    KRW 940.1B

+17 more with disclosed amounts — included in coverage

Suppliers without disclosed amount

태아산업한창제지Price comovement r=-0.14 (1 year)XF49삼광켐MiconolNGPJPYUSDSWMKRWFoil

Financials at a glance

KT&G's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Who held it · filings

Filed record

A historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.

US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.

5%+ major-holding disclosures

  • FirstEagleInvestmentManagement,LLC8.61%2026-05-27 · 증감 +1.49%p
  • CapitalResearchandManagementCompany8.22%2026-07-03 · 증감 +1.01%p
  • 국민연금공단7.50%2025-04-01 · 증감 +1.02%p
  • BlackRockFundAdvisors6.15%2026-06-10 · 증감 +1.14%p
  • GICPrivateLimited5.03%2024-11-29 · 증감 +5.03%p
  • FirstEagleGlobalFund5.02%2026-06-04 · 증감 +0.45%p

Other stocks held by the same investors

A filing-based shared-holder record, not investment advice.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Customers
릴리프코리아세븐GS25CU
Competitors
필립모리스 인터내셔널브리티시 아메리칸 토바코알트리아일본담배산업
Same theme
인터내셔널 토바코케이티정관장코스맥스
🔗 See in the full market map →

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ 162억 · 1w net inflow ≈ -2억(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

Look up another stock →

Recent filings

KT&G's latest filings on Korea's DART. Open a headline for a reference summary and the original.

Source: DART (Korea electronic disclosure)

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Strong buy (52w high + volume)×2
26-05-29-6.5%26-05-14-0.3%
52-week high breakout×6
26-06-15-7.5%26-05-14-0.3%26-05-12+1.6%26-05-11+2.7%26-05-08+1.8%26-05-04-2.1%
New MA alignment×9
26-06-17-7.9%26-06-11-4.7%26-05-28-8.9%26-05-21-3.4%26-05-14-0.3%26-05-08+1.8%26-04-24+2%26-04-13+7.5%26-03-30+13.2%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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