운전자본 팽창 → 현금 고갈 → 유동성 위기
Warning순운전자본이 +24.9% 팽창하며 현금이 묶이고 있다. 영업CF/순이익 비율이 -3%로 이익 대비 현금 회수가 부족하고, 유동비율도 3.56에서 3.52로 하락했다.
Evidence
순운전자본 YoY +24.9%영업CF/순이익 -3%유동비율 3.56→3.52
AeroVironment
AVAV-US · Nasdaq$149.37+1.91%
2026-07-31 closeAeroVironment — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?
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AI Insight
Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly
Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction
Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)
Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p
Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).
Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.
Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.
Valuation Grades
Relative to 201 상사,자본재 peers · not investment advice
Valuation in its own history
PER 170.97 · PBR 8.41 — own history (2007-01~) percentiles 21/100 · 6/100
PER21/100
PBR6/100
Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).
Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.
Financial safety
Reference indicatorAs of 2025Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 7.56
Distress
Grey
Safe
- Altman Z''
- 7.56
- Beneish M-Score
- -2.01
- Sloan accrual
- 4.01%
No statistical flag
부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Why has this company moved this way?
Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score
3/9Weak
Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.
Financial improvement score3/9
Profitability
- Positive ROAPass
- Positive OCFNot passed
- Improving ΔROANot passed
- Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed
Leverage & liquidity
- Lower debtNot passed
- Higher current ratioNot passed
- No new sharesPass
Efficiency
- Higher gross marginNot passed
- Higher asset turnoverPass
Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사
Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Forensic signals
Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.
Margin trendWarning
영업이익률 악화 (10.0% → 5.0%, -5.1%p). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Margin trendWarning
영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 37% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Industry structure
USAs of 2026-08-03상사,자본재
This stock is in 상사,자본재: revenue rank 102 of 190, share 0.1%.
102 / 1900.1%revenue share
Who dominates this industry?
- 1Raytheon Technologies9.2%
- 2Lockheed Martin8.1%
- 3Boeing7.6%
- 4General Dynamics5.4%
- 5Northrop Grumman4.7%
- 6AeroVironment0.1%
Concentration
DistributedCR3 24.9%HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.
Polarization
MixedConsistentPolarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.
Margin lens
- IQR%p
- 11.85
- Direction
- 확대
- Level
- 보통
- Years
- 10
Value lens
- P90/P10
- 22.7
- Median P/B
- 3.39
- Level
- 넓음
- n
- 175
Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)
Factual information, not investment advice.
Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions
Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.
Base metrics
- Operating margin
- 5%
- Interest coverage
- 14.4x
- Return on equity (ROE)
- 4.9%
Operating margin −5pp
Operating lossInterest coverageBase 14.4x adverse case -0.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 4.9% adverse case -0.3%
Revenue −15%
TolerableInterest coverageBase 14.4x adverse case 12.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 4.9% adverse case 3.6%
Interest rate +2pp
TolerableInterest coverageBase 14.4x adverse case 5.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 4.9% adverse case 3.8%
Interest coverage limit
Current margin 4.6ppInterest coverage limit at an operating margin of 0.3%
Interest expense coverage threshold
Financials at a glance
AeroVironment's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.
Connections
AI-extracted related companies · for reference
Suppliers
Wichita State University
Customers
Competitors
Same theme
SwitchbladePumaQuantixAeroVironment Government Solutions
📦 ETFs holding this stock
by weight · top-10 constituents basisPassive money holding this stock ≈ $79M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)
- REX Drone ETF13.10%
- ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF4.29%
- Formidable ETF3.07%
- SPDR S&P Kensho New Economies Composite ETF0.88%
Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.
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