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Capital Southwest

CSWC-US · Nasdaq
$23.59+0.00%
2026-07-31 close

Capital Southwest — what's the grade? And what signals are flashing today?

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AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-03)

Last 30 sessions
759 picks
Next-day win rate
58.8%
Avg next-day
+0.55%
vs market
+0.45%p

Beat the market on 57.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-30 27.3%07-29 30.8%07-28 11.1%07-27 50%07-24 28.6%07-23 44.4%07-22 50%07-21 60%07-20 33.3%07-17 37.5%07-16 16.7%07-15 50%
This stock flashed this signal 3 times over the last ~2 years (see the signal history below for each date).

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 97 증권 peers · not investment advice

Pro unlocks the composite grade, 5 factors and sector rank · ₩19,900/mo

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2025
Grey zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 1.20
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
1.20
Beneish M-Score
-2.34

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
15.29%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

2/9Weak

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score2/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFNot passed
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Revenue qualityDanger

매출 흑자인데 영업CF 적자 (OCF/매출 -106%). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-03

증권

This stock is in 증권: revenue rank 66 of 80, share 0%.

66 / 800%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1StoneX Group17.4%
  2. 2Goldman Sachs Group16.7%
  3. 3Morgan Stanley14.1%
  4. 4BROOKFIELD A (NYS)11.3%
  5. 5Charles Schwab3.4%
  6. 6Capital Southwest0%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 48.1%
HHI 97380 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

Winner-take-all deepeningConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
58.06
Direction
확대
Level
넓음
Years
7

Value lens

P90/P10
18
Median P/B
3.72
Level
넓음
n
65

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
58.9%
Interest coverage
2.4x
Return on equity (ROE)
8%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 2.4x adverse case 2.2x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 8% adverse case 6.8%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 2.4x adverse case 2.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 8% adverse case 5.9%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 2.4x adverse case 1.7x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 8% adverse case 5.7%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 34.5pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 24.4%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Capital Southwest's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Same theme
Middleground CapitalApollo Global ManagementBlackstoneKKR
🔗 See in the full market map →

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $4M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

Look up another stock →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Strong buy (52w high + volume)×3
26-07-20·26-06-26+2.6%26-06-24+3.1%
52-week high breakout×5
26-07-17·26-07-16·26-07-15·26-07-02+0.2%26-07-01-1.1%
New MA alignment×6
26-07-10·26-06-29+2.1%26-06-25+1.5%26-06-16+5.1%26-06-09+1.4%26-06-04+2.1%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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